
AA and his crew have been very busy this offseason. And while there hasn’t been that big signing that many of us thought would happen, it’s been a good offseason. Between claims, signings, trades, dipping into the international market, and MiLB signings, the org has added about 50 new names to the org. In this piece, we’ll list and try to break down what we know about:
- New additions to the 40-man
- New MiLB signings with Spring Training Invite
- New MiLB signings without Spring Training Invites
- Newly signed international players
Braves 40-Man Roster Additions
- Sam Hilliard: Acquired from the Rockies for RHP Dylan Spain, Hilliard was MLB’s most affected player by the shift in 2022. He’ll compete for a roster spots and I hope Kevin Seitzer can unlock his potential.
- Kolby Allard: Acquired from the Rangers in the Odorizzi deal, the 1st rd draft pick returns to his home org with something to prove, but he’s going to have to find his lost velo.
- Michael Tonkin: Left the states for the JPPL in 2017 and has bounced around various leagues since. Put up good numbers at AAA and very much resembled former Brave, Chris Martin in both height and stat-line.
- Seth Elledge: I’m not sure I’ve ever seen this: In both 2020 and 2021, Elledge appeared in 11.2 innings and carried a 4.63 ERA. The odds that happening, Jonathan F. can calculate, but I’m sure it’s wayyyy low. Like Tonkin, Elledge had really good numbers at AAA and should get a good look in spring.
- Nick Anderson: Underwent the alt to TJ surgery and is supposedly healthy again. Was really good with the Rays prior to injury.
- Darius Vines: Likely lining up to be the 8th-9th SP on the Braves 40-man depth chart, but the difference between 7&9 is negligible.
- Roddery Munoz: Great arm, not near ready for the bigs. I’m guessing the org keeps Munoz in a SP role for now, but could pivot by season’s end.
- Dennis Santana: Acquired from the Rangers for cash, Santana is out of optionss and the Braves plan to keep him as they settled at $1MM before going to arb. Santana was lights out and was looking like a key acquisition for a team in need of a back-end reliever, then he absolutely lost it, and the Rangers lost the ability to sell high, and sent him to ATL for nothing more than cash considerations.
- Jordan Luplow: A well above average fielder with a good bat against LHP, Luplow will try to become Eddie Rosario‘s LF platoon partner, and the Braves got him cheap at $1.4MM.
- Lucas Luetge: Because of the 3 batter minimum rule implemented last year, the Braves didn’t need a LOOGY and grabbed a Luetge instead. I like this pickup. He’s like Colin McHugh mirrored and that holds value.
- Eli White: A defensive wiz and a speedster, White will compete for the 26th man spot, but will likely stay at AAA for most of the 2023 season with hopes that he’ll be added when rosters expand and become the defensive replacement/speedster in September and beyond.
- Sean Murphy: The prize addition of the offseason and the reason for much of the subtraction from 2022’s 40-man, expectations are high for Murphy and I fully expect him to fulfill them.
- Joe Jimenez: Had a real breakout year in 2022 (yes, AA bought high), Jimenez is expected to be one of the late innings relievers that takes the currently vacant 8th inning role. I like the move to get Jimenez, but hated the cost especially when it came with only 1 year of control.
Breakdown: Unless injured, Santana, Luetge, Murphy, and Jimenez are locks for Opening Day with Luplow, Hilliard, and Anderson in Tier 2, Elledge and Tonkin in Tier 3, and Allard, White, Munoz, and Vines in Tier 4.
New Braves MILB Deals with Spring Training InvitEs
- RHP, Jesse Chavez
- LHP, Brian Moran
- RHP, Roel RamÃrez
- RHP, Alan Rangel
- RHP, Yacksel RÃos
- RHP, Brooks Wilson
- 2B, Forrest Wall
- OF, Magneuris Sierra
- SS, Adeiny Hechavarria
- C, Joe Hudson
- OF, Kevin Pillar
- UT, Ehire Adrianza
- UT, Carlos Sanchez
- SS Hoy Park
- RHP Ty Tice
- 3B Joshua Fuentes
- RHP Jackson Stephens
Breakdown: Of this list, Chavez is the only shoo-in for MLB time in 2023 with Kevin Pillar, Ehire Adrianza, Jackson Stephens next in line. Snitker recently stated that he’s going with a 5-man rotation out the gate, which all but solidifies that Chavez’s contract will be selected for Opening Day. However, if ST doesn’t go as anticipated and the Braves go with 6 SPs, Chavez could hang in AAA for a few weeks before getting the call. Adeiny feels line next in line on this list, especially if AA feels like Vaughn Grissom isn’t ready. Adrianza feels like an ideal 26th man if Braves figure out a way to boot Ozuna. I expect that Kevin Seitzer will be working hard with Sierra in ST to see if there’s anything to salvage out of the bat, but my guess is there’s nothing there. Brooks Wilson as an MLB-capable arm, but just needs to stay healthy.
In-House Braves Players with Spring Training Invites
- RHP, Blake Burkhalter
- RHP, Victor Vodnik
- LHP, Jared Shuster
- LHP, Danny Young
- LHP, Dylan Dodd
- SS, Cal Conley
- C , Ryan Casteel
- SS, Joe Dunand
- C, Tyler Tolve
- 2B, Cody Milligan
- C, Drake Baldwin
- OF, Justin Dean
- SS, Luke Waddell
Breakdown: I like that the Braves are letting Burkhalter get a go in MLB Spring Training. When they drafted him, it was expected he’d move fast. I’ve always envisioned him as Craig Kimbrel lite and Kimbrel debuted at 22 y/o, Burk’s current age. Shuster is on the verge of being deemed ready and needs a good showing in spring and at AAA. It’s not unexpected to see a jump in ERA when leaving the friendly pitching park of Pearl, but Shuster’s numbers got much worse in Gwinnett. I’d love to see Vodnik break through but injuries just keep getting in the way of talent. Both Conley and Waddell are at least worthy of keeping an eye on. Like Martin Prado, both are dirt dobbers, have extremely good work ethics, and Conley’s showing in the AFL definitely grabbed some attention. Neither will be in the bigs in 2023, but both could make good super-utility players in the future.
Other MiLB Signings
- RHP, Nolan Martinez
- RHP, Zach Mort
- RHP, Jake Elliot
- LHP, Yansel Marine
- 2B, Mitchell Tolman
- 3B, Hudson Potts
- RHP, Styven Francisco
- RHP, Daury Zapata
- 1B, Ryder Jones
Breakdown: Potts feels like the only one worth keeping tabs on. He has pedigree and serious power potential, but strikes out in about 30% of his ABs.
Braves 2023 International Signees
I’m sure it felt really nice to dip back into the international free agent market for the 2nd year in a row after sitting out for so long due to Coppygate. With a bonus pool of $5.2MM, AA and his crew were able to grab several higher end players. The biggest signing came out of Venezuela, an OFer by the name of Luis Guanipa, who was rated by most to be in the top 10 of the international market and signed for $2.5MM. Let it be known that the Braves signed 9 total international players from Venezuela and that speaks volumes for what the team thinks of the talent coming from there.
While I won’t bore you with fake scouting reports, rather I’ll just give you the list of the international signees in case you want to know who could be playing with the Braves in 2029.
- Luis Guanipa, OF, Venezuela
- Jhon Estevez, OF, Dominican Republic
- Whilmer Guerra, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Johan Ramos, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Carlos Cordero, SS, Dominican Republic
- Mario Baez, SS, Dominican Republic
- Enderson Garcia, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Cristobal Abreu, RHP, Dominican Republic
- John Gil, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Luis Arestigueta, RHP, Venezuela
- Jean Franco Gutierrez, RHP, Venezuela
- Lewis Sifontes, LHP, Venezuela
- Jeremy Reyes, RHP, Venezuela
- Carlos Monteverde, OF, Venezuela
- Axel Nieblas, SS, Mexico
- Kelvin Carmona, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Jose Marcano, RHP, Venezuela
- Jose Pineda, RHP, Venezuela
- Roiber Niazoa, 3B, Venezuela
- Rudit Peña, RHP, Venezuela
- Edward Cedano, RHP, Dominican Republic
- Luis Parababire, C, Venezuela
- Hojans Hernandez, C, Cuba
Breakdown: While I’ve read a bit on some of these players, I know very little, but if the $ talks, here are the players that the Braves thought worthy of a good chunk of change:
- Luis Guinipa, $2.5MM (nearly 1/2 their entire pool)
- Jhon Esteves, $310K
- Carlos Monteverde, $700K
- Mario Baez, $240K
While I’m sure this list isn’t the complete list, between the 4 lists of new players, AA and his crew have added 53 new faces to the franchise and I’d be willing to bet good money he’s not done.
JC’ed:
Keith Law ranked Atlanta’s farm system as #29 out of 30, which can’t be too surprising; he also ranked 0 of our prospects in his top 100. (He said Jared Shuster is our top prospect, which seems right; and he also said Shuster wasn’t close to the top 100, which also doesn’t seem too surprising. For what it’s worth, Justyn-Henry Malloy didn’t make the top 100, either.)
https://theathletic.com/4138444/2023/02/02/mlb-farm-system-ranking-prospects/
So, seems harsh but fair. That said, I’m pretty confident in our front office’s ability to restock the farm. Especially given, as Ryan mentions, our renewed presence in Latin America.
Am I the only one surprised that Braden Shewmake didn’t even get a Spring Training invite? I’m the only one, aren’t I?
@2
He’s on the 40-man so he’s an auto add.
Shewmake’s season ended with a pretty serious leg injury and he didn’t make it back even to the fall instructional session so I’m guessing he will stay at the extended spring training site and placed on the 60 day injury list to start the season (this frees up a 40-man roster space).
The very newest Brave:
https://twitter.com/byrobertmurray/status/1621191140925124609?s=46&t=INwaL6MNkJHddZvWR8sLHA
More on him (h/t to Reddit): https://www.sportsnet.ca/mlb/longform/never-know-whos-looking-blue-jays-found-alejandro-kirk/
Thanks for the post Ryan. It definitely was a lot of work and it provides an excellent reference. It didn’t seem like the Braves were very active, but they definitely were. From the list I don’t see any farm-raised breakout candidates like Michael Harris or Vaughn Grissom from last year. I just hope we don’t get many injuries – especially to position players.
Great work, thank you, Ryan!
@3 and @4, thanks.
Nice capsule & reference point, thnx!
Re: the odd question raised above
There are nine players who pitched the same number of innings and gave up the same number of runs in two consecutive seasons 0f pitching (I counted it if there were intervening years when they didn’t pitch):
Two were position players: Victor Caratini (2018-19 2 innings pitched, 2 runs allowed) and Craig Reynolds (1986, 1989 1 inning pitched, 1 run allowed)
The others
Galen Cisco (1967,1969: 22.1 IP, 9 earned runs)
James McDonald (2011-12: 171 IP, 80 earned runs)
Jose Parra (2002,2004: 14 IP, 5 earned runs)
Alfonso Pulido (1983-84: 2 IP, 2 earned runs) [That was his entire MLB career!]
Hunter Harvey (2020-21: 8.2 IP, 4 earned runs)
Jordan Zimmermann (2020-2021: 5.2 IP, 5 earned runs)
and, as noted above, Seth Elledge
All you Yolmer Sanchez fans will notice that I missed him. 1 inning pitched in both 2021 and 2022 with 1 run given up in each. (But exercises like this helped me spot an error in my 2022 update, now fixed.)
Cool story about Jason Heyward’s next chapter.
https://theathletic.com/4152541/2023/02/03/jason-heyward-chicago-dodgers/
New thread!
Alex, I’ll bring you over.
https://bravesjournal.mystagingwebsite.com/2023/02/04/2022-braves-player-review-austin-riley/