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The Mariners finished 27-33, 3rd in the division behind the Astros and Athletics. However, they do have what most consider the best farm system in the MLB. While I don’t think their window opens in 2021, they likely won’t be selling any long-term assets so I’ll be looking at a few guys whose contracts expire within 2 years.
Trade Value of Kyle Seager
Kyle Seager has been a Mariner for a decade now. That seems wild. Over those 10 years, Seager has collected 32.3 fWAR, topping out at 5.2 in both 2014 and 2016 and bottoming out at 1.5 in 2018. He’s rated well defensively nearly every year, but as a 33 year old those days might be coming to an end. Still, he’s a good player that could put up a 3ish WAR and help strengthen the 5th or 6th spot in the Braves batting order. With an $18.5MM salary, Seager’s trade value isn’t too sparkly, coming in at -$9.1MM. With $ being tight across MLB, I believe it. The biggest issue with Seager’s contract is that, with the Mariners, he has a club option for $18.5MM in 2022. However, if he gets traded, it becomes a player option. There’s rumor that he could waive that if dealt to the right club. Could the Braves be that team? For this exercise, I’m assuming a kid from North Carolina would oblige. However, if that’s the case, his trade value changes so I’m going to assume that his negative value is neutralized.
Trade Value of Mitch Haniger
Haniger had one of the most gruesome injuries a baseball player can have, and that’s all I’ll say about that. He suffered the injury in June of 2019 and unfortunately complications continued to the point that he had to sit out the rest of the 2019 season and all of 2020. However, good news dropped 3 weeks ago as Haniger resumed baseball activities and should be ready for the 2021 season. Even being 30 years old and having sit out the last 1.5 seasons, Haniger’s salary and control through 2022 still provides him a surplus value of $18.1MM.
Fake Trade Number 1
Breakdown: This is a straight salary dump for the Mariners but they get a few cheap lottery tickets coming back. Braves get Seager for $15.5MM for 1 year.
Fake Trade Number 2
Breakdown: The Mariners are stacked in the farm, but the one thing they’re lacking is a good catching prospect. Langeliers would likely be ready when the team is ready to compete again.
Fake Trade Number 3
- Braves get Kyle Seager and Mitch Haniger
- Mariners get Shea Langeliers and Sean Newcomb
Breakdown: Attaching Seager’s salary naturally brings down Haniger’s value. Langeliers stays and Newcomb is the sweetener to the deal. If Braves needed to add more, there are plenty more sweeteners with team control that the Mariners could find attractive.
Thanks for reading Braves and Mariners Hypothetical thread. Thoughts?