Many of y’all are old enough to remember October of 2021. My memory is not what it used to be, but as I recall, the Braves lost their first postseason game that year. I believe we can all agree that postseason turned out OK.
So no need for post-mortems here. We’re still pre-mortem! This patient is still breathing, and the pulse, though faint for now, may yet turn out to be strong.
True, after last night’s 4-0 loss in San Diego, our guys are one game away from that undiscovered country from whose borne no traveler has returned. And if the Braves’ bats continue to perform as they did in game 1, the autopsy for 2024 can begin soon.
But Max Fried takes the hill tonight for game two. Nobody I would rather see in that spot. Win tonight, and all of a sudden it’s a one game do or die for both teams. It’s a fighting chance.
As to last night, I’m not going to criticize AJ Smith-Shawver; it’s not his fault he was thrust into this situation. But nor will I second guess the decision to start him in this game. After Monday’s doubleheader and Chris Sale’s injury, there were no obviously better options. We can give Snit credit for managing as one should in October, when he took AJ out after one and a third. Unfortunately, by that time it was 3-0, which was two more runs than the Padres would need on the night.
Remarkably, the combination of Aaron Bummer and Jesse Chavez came on to combine for 4 2/3 hitless shutout innings. Luke Jackson tossed the final two, surrendering a solo shot in the 8th to make it 4-0. So with any kind of offense, the Braves could have clawed their way back into it. But the only kind of offense the Braves could muster was the kind of offense we’ve seen so often in 2024, which was pretty dreadful. Michael King befuddled them for 7 innings, striking out 12 and walking no one.
Let’s recall again that first postseason series in 2021 against the Brewers. The Braves were linted to only four hits in game 1. After two games Freddie Freeman was 0-7 with seven strikeouts. That series turned out ok.
I’m not predicting the outcome here. If I were a gambling man like the late Pete Rose, I’d put my money on San Diego. But I’m not much like Pete Rose, in terms of gambling or otherwise. I’m a Braves fan and the Braves—unlike Charlie Hustle–are still alive! As long as that’s the case, might as well keep the faith and enjoy the ride while it lasts.
In 1997, Bob Dylan sang “It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there.” Bob is still out there performing 27 years later. We’ve still got some light.

Love the recap, but I have a quibble. It was the first two games of the 2021 NLCS, not NLDS, in which Freeman was 0 for 8 with 7 strikeouts. In the first two of the NLDS he was 1 of 5 with 3 walks and 2 strikeouts. I remember because despite the poor start to his NLCS, Freeman reached base 12 times in the last four games of the NLCS and wound up with similarly impressive slash stats for each of the three postseason series that year – .308/.471/.615, .286/.444/.619, and .318/.360/.636.
For now, let’s just hope that tonight isn’t the last game of the year.
Thanks for the3 correction. As I acknowledged about my memory….
But as you point out, Freddie did strikeout seven consecutive times at the beginning of the second of the 2021 postseason series, and yet came back to have an OPs over 1.000. So resurrection is possible!
Amen, tfloyd!
I am looking forward to the winter of excuses from Braves State Media. “Oh they were tired and hurt and just unlucky and Sale’s back has an ingrown hair…” Same story. Rinse and repeat.
If you take out 2021, this organization has a serious issue come October. Has been that way forever.
Smitty, great to see you on here.
The decision to start Keuchel game 1 instead of Soroka in the 2019 NLDS still baffles me. Then you consider the rumor (I think DOB mentioned this on his podcast) that Morton wanted to sign with us over Tampa the previous winter and we declined makes that season an even bigger “what if.” With Morton, I think that team wins a title. Without Morton, I still think that’s the most healthy and complete team we’ve ever had going into the playoffs.
The only defense I’ll make of our spotty October record is 1996; if that team was completely healthy I think they easily win the World Series. They did OK replacing Justice but losing Pedro Borbón really affected the bullpen. Mac made a similar point years ago I believe.
I won’t make the same argument for 1999 because by then the Yankees were a true superpower and our starting pitching had slightly regressed.
Hi Smitty,
I would say there are 2 distinct eras of Braves playoffs. The first was 1991-1996 when we played well enough to win every series and mostly got unlucky. The second was everything after when we mostly looked hapless and except for 2021
I know our hitters, and the ump, made SD’s starting pitcher look even better last night, but I was impressed with him anyway. Everything was hard, and with movement, and for strikes (or close enough). Where can we get some of those?
Saw King a lot as a Yankee. When he was acquired, he was used as a middle reliever, then a set-up guy. It was obvious that he had good stuff, but he was kinda wild.
The last 2 years in The Bronx, he was super-effective & became a starter. He’d gained command and a nasty out-pitch slider.
But, in the off-season, the Yanks packaged him to San Diego for Juan Soto. Looks like things worked out for both clubs.
Tonight: It’s time again for Max to be mighty.
King was throwing whiffle balls last night. Not sure any offense would have gotten him. He was impressive.
This organization’s offensive philosophy has been laid to waste this season. Injuries are a part of the story, but watching this team try to hit, they are not the story. I don’t see how you can just run it back next year without any changes and bank on a reversion to 2021-2023.
Yeah, I think it’s time to let Seitzer go and bring Chipper back into the fold.
Also need to find a shortstop upgrade.
Dunno if these’ll link due to paywalls, but here are 2 really good columns on Pete Rose:
Pete Rose loved baseball, and damaged it terribly – The Washington Post
Mark Bradley: What do I think when I think of Pete Rose? It’s, um, complicated (ajc.com)
EDIT: Guess not… c’est la vie. Worth checking out, though…
I can share the Post article as I have an account there:
https://wapo.st/47PsLqB
For the Bradley piece, unfortunately I do not – anyone else have an account they can share a gift link from?
https://www.ajc.com/sports/mark-bradley/mark-bradley-what-do-i-think-when-i-think-of-pete-rose-its-um-complicated/3QSLRCTHKNAUJJUDZF6T65CEG4/
I’ve always said that to be a great team you have to have no easy outs in the lineup. If you can’t hit then you have no place on my team. We’re so far from that that it’s not even worth discussing. Certainly all the injuries are most of it, but this team’s approach to hitting just goes against everything I believe is “right”. Even our healthy guys that we’d consider “good” have not had the right approach. Our lack of walks is why we suck.
Have to agree. Chipper said as much. The organization isn’t valuing OBP enough.
I have been saying this for 25 years. Not that anyone would have a reason to listen to me lol. But either way it’s music to my ears
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/41569980/diamond-sports-group-carry-11-mlb-teams-2025
DSG dropping everyone except for us.
Josh Hader may be the crapshoot poster child. Unhittable playoff series after unhittable playoff series…. with two massive losses attributable to two batters: Freddie Freeman and now Andy Ibanez.
Are the Royals going to win a series scoring 3 total runs? Baseball is cruel.
3 game series are dumb but honestly any short series is cruel and stupid when you play half the days of the year to get there