I feel like every time we’ve played on Sunday Night Baseball this year so far, we’ve suffered some horrible loss that caused me to say, “Yeah…that’s a morning recap. I’d rather somebody prop my eyelids open all night than have to relive that right away.†Well not tonight, baby! Tonight we get our biggest win of the year so far!
The Braves won 5-3 Sunday night at a raucous Truist Park to move two games ahead of the Mets in the race for the NL East crown with three games left. It was their 100th win of the season, marking the first time the franchise has accomplished that since 2003. The win also means Atlanta wins the season series over the New Yorkers, 10-9. That’s big because there are no one-game playoffs this year. If the division finishes tied, the winner of the season series wins it. As such, our effective magic number is down to 1, with any Braves win or Mets loss over the next three days clinching the title.
Dansby Swanson opened the proceedings tonight with a homer in his third straight game, launching a ball into the Atlanta bullpen to give the home side a 1-0 edge. However, they would be forced to mount another early comeback. Daniel Vogelbach launched a game-tying homer in the second, then New York mounted a rally in the third. The extremely annoying Jeff McNeil (I swear to God he singled on a pitch that was a foot outside in this game) led off the frame with a homer to give the Mets the lead, then Pete Alonso, Eduardo Escobar and Vogelbach hit three straight singles. Alonso scored on the last of those to give the visitors a 3-1 lead and put runners at the corners with nobody out. With Mark Canha batting, Austin Riley let a slow roller down the third-base line go under the assumption that he might not have been able to get an out (and certainly would’ve allowed another run) had he fielded it. It was on the line and was 50-50 to go foul, but it just barely did. Had it caught a piece of the bag, the rally would’ve continued with at least a 4-1 lead and still nobody out. As it was though, it proved a turning point in the game. Canha popped out, Luis Guillorme struck out and James McCann grounded out, allowing Morton to escape further damage. Then the Braves answered back in the bottom half of the frame.
Orlando Arcia singled, Ronald Acuna walked, and Dansby flew out deep to center, allowing both runners to move up. Then with two outs, Riley got hit by a pitch and Matt Olson walked with the bases loaded, making it 3-2. The Mets had a chance to lift Chris Bassitt at this point, but didn’t. I probably would’ve stayed with him as well, to be honest, but it’s a decision that wound up costing the Mets. Travis d’Arnaud made sure of that one batter later, when he lined a two-run single to center field to give the Braves the lead back.
After that, it was a matter of the Braves pitching staff holding onto the lead. Morton was offered a short leash, and was pulled after 4.1 innings, having allowed three runs on nine hits. He did strike out five. Dylan Lee came on in relief with one on in the fifth and pitched 1.1 excellent innings, striking out two. He walked Brandon Nimmo with two outs in the sixth, though, and was lifted for Collin McHugh, who swiftly struck out Francisco Lindor. Raisel Iglesias and A.J. Minter each allowed a hit but got through their innings, leading to the third straight night of Kenley Jansen. Cue the customary rending of garments, but there wasn’t a need to worry…he was absolute nails. Seven pitches, seven strikes, setting down the top of the Mets order 1-2-3.
So now, we’re on the verge of our fifth straight division title and another trip to the Division Series. Let’s win tomorrow night and give ourselves a week off, boys!
Tremendously satisfying.
Even allowing for the usual time zone factor, our household fandom was distracted this weekend as we were all in London where my wife ran her first marathon yesterday
We can relate to a post on previous thread referring to karma and superstition, as we tempted the baseball gods of fate by sporting Braves jerseys while careering around London in support
Now collectively tired but very happy with how all the relevant weekend events have turned out
Go Braves
Easily the biggest series of the 21st century for the Braves. We’ll all remember this one for years to come.
Co-MVP’s for Olson and Dansby, but a big shout-out to the bullpen. With no starter going past 5 innings, just giving up one run this whole series was huge.
Morton has been a bit diminished this year, but he has definitely been better in the second half. The guy who helped him turn his season around: Kyle Wright.
https://theathletic.com/3619665/2022/10/03/caught-looking-scherzer-schwarber-analytics/
Sometimes the baseball gods are cruel (see e.g., last game of the Nats series and most of the Braves’ playoffs 1991 – 2020 excepting 1995) and sometimes they are extraordinarily generous (2021 playoffs and this Mets series). I firmly believe that the Braves are better than the Mets but a whole lot of things went right for the Braves in that last series. You know what – I’ll take it and be thankful about it!
If the Braves haven’t used up all of their good juju, maybe we can get successful returns of Strider and Ozzie in the playoffs?
Amazing series. Go Braves, and go Braves journal.
Anyone attending any playoff games?
I’m an Ohioan, and the Ticketmaster listing for playoff tickets appears to limit the sale to seven southern states. Does anyone know if this was only for the presale, or is that for the general public on sale as well?
It is funny how things usually even themselves out. In our last series with New York we were upset about all the bloop hits . The bloop hits NY got in this series were rarely at critical moments.
Fun fact: with the Braves’ excellent run prevention over the last month or so, we now have both the 2nd highest run scored total in the NL (behind only the Dodgers) and lowest runs allowed in the NL (also the Dodgers). The Dodgers have a borderline hilarious seasonal runs scored/allowed differential of 333, which has to be one of the highest in modern baseball history. (2001 Mariners had only a 300 run diff.)
What’s fascinating for me, is the depth of the lineup. When Riley and Olson are struggling, MH2 and Ronald are picking them up. This series, it was the other way around. And TdA does not get enough love. He has been absolutely amazing. Also, Riley’s (non-) play last night was huge. We might not win, if he tries to make the play. Would have been 4-1 and still no outs and Morton probably out of the game. Huge.
PS and how does McNeil not have a .500 batting average?
Followup to my last post (from Wikipedia): The best run differential in a major-league season is +458, set by the 1884 St Louis Maroons, who scored 887 runs while allowing 429. The Maroons competed in the Union Association, whose records and statistics are recognized by MLB. The worst run differential was by the 1899 Cleveland Spiders of the National League at −723, who allowed 1252 runs while only scoring 529.
From 1900-onward: the 1939 New York Yankees have recorded the best run differential (+411), while the 1932 Boston Red Sox have recorded the worst (-349).
Amazing how different the vibe is in these games post-2021. Before it always just felt like waiting for the other shoe to drop, seemed inevitable we were going to lose in some excruciating fashion. That’s turned around 180 degrees- we’ve got swagger. Steady under pressure.
Cohen’s gonna give Aaron Judge a half billion dollars.
There’s no telling what Cohen will spend. But given how much turnover the Mets are in for, concentrating their spending on one position would really be something…especially after their savvy upgrades all over the roster, e.g. Canha/Bassitt, paid such big dividends.
I am delivering to our first stop in Miami with my dear friend and boss EdK We meet and became close for two reasons I was collecting pallets and much more importantly had rescued three beautiful pit bulls Ed rescued his pit bull June while she had only six hours to live I was living in my truck but Ed paid the vet bills for all three and gave me a part time job
I now have a place to live and stayed with Ed when I was told to evacuate Best time of my life
Now we will delivery and go to the game Hopefully they win in one But Ed says don’t fall asleep on Miami Excellent starting pitching
If the Braves can’t win one game well they don’t deserve it Mets may lose one
The joy that Ed had was unbelievable Plus I am enjoying learning the game
And the Packers won somehow
Enjoy the game
@10, the 1906 Cubs were only +323 in run differential, but that was in a low-scoring environment (scored 704, allowed 381). Their Pythagorean winning % was better than that of the 1939 Yankees, and I assume the best of the post-1900 period.
Should we not have saved the 20 million on Morton to sign Swanson And then go from there Or is there a plenty of money to go around Swanson would have been my priority over Morton
@16 Agreed. I am hoping the Dansby extension is already done and not announced yet as I agree that the money would have been better spent there. I also think that takes us out of the pipe dream of signing deGrom for whatever that was worth…
@16 Liberty is making so much money. They can afford to pay both guys.
Why has Vaughn Grissom been MIA?
New York Mets get swept by Atlanta Braves
https://deadspin.com/baseball-cares-not-for-your-plans-especially-when-you-1849608111
It is even harder to feel sorry for the Mets after reading this article. The author has the unique skill of being embarrassed, smug and whiny at the same time and he does throughout the article.
#19
He started slumping, then Arcia got hot.
@6: I got one of the codes for being a verified fan and bought tickets to the first home game of the NLCS. I spent too much money, but hopefully will be worth it.
@ 16,
I am going to speculate. Usually, AA and McGuirk both try to always have a way they can come out. The option in Charlie’s contract was one of those. They had NO obligation to elect that. If Charlie blows out his UCL next start, that is 20 million in dead money. So, why? They didn’t get a 5 million option for 2024, or (so far as we know) a deferred payment.
My guess is Charlie’s agent put a soft push on McGuirk. As in, “If Charlie’s got to worry about what he’s doing next year, he will just retire.” So, AA either had to say “fine” or pay the man. I would have held my ground, I think.
Yes, Braves are generating more revenue for McGuirk to spend and this doesn’t hamstring them, but they always have to optimize whatever money they are spending. The QO on Dansby is right around there. I think the QO is a big enough anchor to leave Braves a clear first shot at Dansby, but I think he is going to want either too many years or too much AAV.
I think that’s possible, but I think it’s also possible that Charlie is basically pitching at a level that’s worth pretty much exactly $20 million on the free agent market and this allows AA to give out a one-year contract — his favorite kind — and preserve flexibility while filling the back of the rotation with a league-average arm. I think you can basically see this signing as being extremely similar to the R.J. Dickey and Bartolo Colon deals: if there are five starting pitchers who are better than a 39-year-old Charlie Morton, I doubt he’ll be allowed to block them for long.
Limited upside, limited downside, exactly on the bubble of defensibility. So I’m totally fine with them jumping the gun by a few weeks, particularly if it helps Charlie’s effectiveness for the rest of this season.
We haven’t won anything yet…just sayin’
Totally agree about the article linked @20… They must be pitied, but also admired. On behalf of everyone west of NYC: Muck the Fets.
Mets/Nats rained out. Traditional doubleheader at 4 p.m. tomorrow.
Yeah, so do we get to look forward to Odorizzi tomorrow making Wednesday a must win? Like krussell said, we haven’t won anything yet and let’s not get Mets like over confident
@20, @26:
The part that gets me the most is near the end, where he blames this current playoff system and says the Mets have been “undone by geography,†as though no other excellent team had ever been screwed over by being in a division with a slightly better one, as though this playoff system weren’t literally the kindest to teams in the Mets’ situation in the history of baseball.
Getting bad vibes about this series.
Sure didn’t take long for the Eeyore brigade to show back up. You guys would probably do well to relax.
Can’t help it. I’m a worrier.
Hey, I’m still very chill, somehow…
Arcia hasn’t been great defensively at 2nd. I hope Ozzie is in shape for the nlds.
Mets forums think we’ll get swept, and they’ll beat the Nats easily in the double-header, only to lose the last game in extra innings while Alonso and Lindor get hurt. So…compared to that, I feel like an optimist.
We probably got in at like 4 a.m., the atmosphere couldn’t possibly be more different from this weekend, and we’re operating without the business end of our bullpen tonight. Coming out flat tonight was always a distinct possibility. Doesn’t mean we’ll lose our crap the rest of the series, and we can bring Fried back on Wednesday if need be. Plus there’s every chance the Mets come out flat, as well. I’ll wait until Wednesday to freak out.
I’d imagine most of the team is hungover. Literally, not metaphorically. They need to slam a beer in the dugout to get right.
Ugh, this is the same team I saw being very flat in DC last week. I hope they get a good night’s sleep and come out ripping tomorrow. 8 Ks in 9 ABs for 3, 4, 5 and 2 errors. Just awful.
For any real “disaster” to occur, six separate things need to happen. I’m not worried.
And when it comes to false hopes, Mets fans have that market cornered. Give ’em one more day.
Kinda expected some sort of sleep walk .. not this bad though
That was officially a game that happened.
Many of us (all of us?) have stayed up until 4am and gone to work the next day at 8 or 9am. I’m not feeling all that sympathetic for someone that has to wake up at the crack of 4pm in a really nice hotel. Worst game I’ve watched in a long time. Oh well, flush it and move on. Better win tomorrow though, or the pucker factor will get pretty intense.
It was even worse live
Will stay and hope for a better effort tomorrow
This letdown not a surprise
We heard a rumor
The Cy Young award winner will pitch Wednesday if the game is important
14 Strike outs and 16 Left on base … recipe for a loss for dang sure … ugly … gotta go get this Tue night . Don’t want to go to Wed on this….
@42
They were so final about all that last week that I really don’t think so.
Recapped.
https://bravesjournal.mystagingwebsite.com/2022/10/03/pure-evil-4-and-im-not-worried-about-it/
If Sandy wants to pitch Sandy pitches The Marlins thought that game would have no meaning Tomorrow will determine how much
It was actually more likely that the game would have meaning last week when they shut him down than it is now. Or at least just as likely.
Last week the Braves had a 35% chance to win the division
Before tonight 98%
Odds of beating the Mets three in a row 32%
Big change in importance
Very big
Good night
Up early for picture taking in The Everglades