[I asked AAR to write something up and he didn’t have time.  So you get my inferior retrospective. Also, today was the second day of pitchers and catchers and we learned that one pitcher, Spencer Schwellenbach, is really Spencer Won’t-be-back-for-a-while and one catcher, Sean Murphy, is sufficiently uncertain to necessitate a one year contract to once-promising-but-now-hits-like-Damon-Berryhill Jonah Heim. More on these developments soon. Today is about Ozuna.]

Marcell Ozuna left St. Louis under the cloud of a megatrade bust: the Cardinals gave up Sandy Alcantara and Zac Gallen and Magneuris Sierra and Daniel Castano to get him and he put up only 2.5 WAR per year before gaining free agency; Cardinals fans hated him.  He then came to Atlanta under what is the clearly established Anthopoulous Doctrine: you’re a dodgy quantity, so you get a year, and if it works out you get a chance at an extension.  This technique has had mixed success, from Josh Donaldson at one end to Cole Hamels on the other.  Marcell is clearly on the upper end of this distribution by any measure.  His 2.8 WAR in the abbreviated 2020 season earned him the extension, and it paid off, though it took a while.

Let’s start with basics: assuming he never returns to the Braves, Marcell Ozuna put up the following body of work in the ATL.

  1. An extremely solid 127 OPS+ in his 6 years.
  2. Compared to other Braves over that span, he ranks second in most counting-stat categories (games, at bats, hits, homers) behind Riley, and third in a few (singles, behind Riley and Albies; RBIs, behind Riley and Olson; walks, behind Olson and Acuña)
  3. Twice, he was top 10 in MVP voting
  4. He hit a triple and had 3 stolen bases, only being caught once.
  5. He arrived as a relatively immobile left fielder, and pretty quickly became someone whose glove could be left at home.

In those six years, the Braves paid him just under $100MM to play baseball, and he did so at a very high level.  And he was by every account I’ve seen, a great teammate and highly inspirational, particularly to his fellow Spanish-speaking players.

On the other hand, this great offensive performance was concentrated in four of his six seasons here. And most problematic was 2021, the season the Braves won a World Championship.  His absence in left field after he badly broke two fingers sliding into third was then compounded with a domestic violence suspension; this led indirectly to the signing of Eddie Rosario, just as Acuña’s injury led to the signings of Jorge Soler and Joc Pederson.  Counterfactual history is a mug’s game, but we can only say what actually happened: the Braves won a World Series, and indeed were only a superlative team when two of their best offensive players were missing.  Baseball is a funny game.

2022 wasn’t much better and there were grumblings that he was done.  But he silenced his critics… not just the critics of his hitting abilities (he only had two games in left field after 2022) but the publicity around domestic violence issues that got him suspended and led many people on this blog to declare they never wanted to see him again on the field.

I am an ostrich on these issues.  There are a lot of things I’d rather not know about players.  I certainly don’t want to know about their home lives, their strip club antics, or even their salaries for that matter.  The fact that the modern age relishes in the feel-good and tsks at the feel-bad forces us to confront these things with a take is, in my opinion, a problem in the current age.  I don’t expect anyone to agree with me on this – my grandchildren certainly don’t, and I’ll only be around so much longer to have to wallow in this stew of personal detail.  But I hope, even for those of you who wanted Ozuna off the team in 2021, that we realize that with the power to condemn comes the responsibility to recognize the possibility of redemption.  Has Ozuna redeemed himself?  I have no idea, and I don’t want to know.  But apparently no news is good news, and I wish him well in Pittsburgh.  Nice town, lousy baseball team.  And if we need to find a pinch hitter for our 2026 playoff run, I expect Pittsburgh will be one of the first places on speed dial.