Having spent more than six months watching this team, a level of cynicism was almost unavoidable. It would be all too easy to turn off this game after the first three innings, and say, “The hell with them, they were always going to lose that game,” throw the remote across the couch, and spend the next three months mad.
But it didn’t have to end this way, and it damn near didn’t.
Max Fried gave up four infield singles and got a nasty comebacker; a couple of inches and he’d have gotten out of this game with a much better line than two innings, five runs. It’s a bitter pill to swallow for him, as he now enters free agency knowing that this team is unlikely to tender him an offer anywhere near his market worth. He left the game with his team down 5-1, much like A.J. Smith-Shawver left yesterday’s contest with his team down 4-0.
But the bullpen held them there. The Atlanta bullpen pitched 12 2/3 innings in this series and allowed one run on three hits, with eight strikeouts and three walks. Had it not been for Fried and Smith-Shawver yielding eight runs in 3 1/3, things might have been otherwise.
Still, during a season in which the Braves offense had been so ravaged that the preseason World Series favorites nearly missed the playoffs, the team still won 89 games and secured a Wild Card spot because their pitching staff had the highest WAR in the majors, even despite Spencer Strider missing nearly the whole year. The starters failed last, only after all the other parts of the team had previously crumpled.
But if you had turned off the game in the third, you would have quit on a team that was still fighting, and doing so in the only way they knew how: flailing miserably until poking a couple of taters that brought them right back into the game. First Jorge Soler hit a solo shot in the fifth, and then Money Mike hit a two-run job in the eighth, his fifth hit of the series. He accounted for fully 38% of the Braves’ hits, 44% of the Braves’ total bases, and, with his double and homer in today’s losing effort, half of the team’s extra-base hits.
The team lost because its offense lacked cohesion, its starting rotation was a shambles, its bench depth was nil because the bench had long since been pressed into emergency service as the regulars went down injured, one by one.
And it’s impossible to ignore that the offense lacked cohesion in large part due to the strategy Alex Anthopoulos pursued at three key positions: catcher, shortstop, and first base. Arcia, Olson, and Murphy each had horrible years, and the team has some decisions to make.
In the meantime, our televisions are tuned to other channels. The Brewers knotted their series with the Mets. They and the Padres are the two teams who have never won a championship; the Tigers haven’t won in 40 years, and the Guardians haven’t won in three-quarters of a century. There are some fun rooting stories.
There will be a lot to say about Where Do We Go From Here? in the coming days. For now, this day is dark, and the cynicism about the team’s struggles was really just a protective armor to shield ourselves from the pain of watching a talented team underachieve for months of what should have been a much more successful summer.
But the last two weeks of the season, the team finally put together the winning streak we’d been pleading for all year, and they got their act together and chased and caught the Mets as the good Lord intended and won enough games to squeak into the playoffs and make today even possible. September was a hell of a lot more fun than the previous four months put together.
Today, our season came to an end, later than we’d feared, sooner than we’d hoped. The team had much more resilience than we gave them credit for, in our least charitable moments.
Tomorrow, we root for the undefeated 2025 Braves.
Good night, everybody.

Thanks, Alex. And now, appropriately for the season, we enter a new year tomorrow.
May next year be sweet.
Thank you, AAR. Not a fun season overall. I still feel they got the most out of it during the regular season. Losing Sale probably hurt the most going into the playoffs. Disappointed? Yes. But I cannot feel mad. It was clearly just not going to be our year. The core, when healthy, is as strong as any team in baseball. Let’s get ’em next year. Go Braves!
And thank you to all you recappers and regular posters. You recappers are the best in the game. There’s no one close.This continues to be the best site on the web. THANK YOU!
Yeah, you’re not winning much when you’re missing as many people as we were, plus Sale. We made a game of it. Now the offseason can start for us.
I’m almost certain we won’t be able to replicate Sale’s or Lopez’s seasons next year, and that’s my only regret of this season. In another world, our pitching could’ve been dangerous in a short series, so that was a lost opportunity. Alas.
I don’t think any decisions about Murphy or Olson are coming. They won’t be traded. Possible a SS upgrade, but doubt that too. Arcia play on the cheap and we have the luxury tax to worry about. What are your thoughts?
Yeah, I don’t think that Murphy and Olson are going anywhere – we’ve hitched our wagon to theirs for a good long while. But the team needs to examine the decisionmaking process that led us to them. It felt counterintuitive at the time, particularly when it was clear that Freeman could have been had for a similar amount of money we were willing to give Olson. (Freeman took a higher AAV for fewer years – $27M/yr for six years vs. $21M/yr for eight years – but it was a very similar total dollar value.)
And I wrote a bunch of comments at the time incredulously asking why we would trade for Murphy when we had a cost-controlled Contreras.
Meanwhile, Swanson went to Chicago and over the past two years, their shortstops have been worth nearly seven wins more than our shortstops.
The decisionmaking process looked questionable at the time and has only gotten harder to defend in retrospect. So the team is going to need to look through its analytic process, the assumptions and models they’ve used, and figure out how they can do better going forward.
As I wrote a few days ago, I thought this team needed to add more reinforcements at the deadline. AA didn’t do so, and it was clear that he decided not to because he felt the price was too high. John Schuerholz frequently felt the prices were too high, too. But are they operating with a truly up-to-date understanding of market prices? Or are they yelling at clouds?
Agreed, Alex. A couple of years ago, the number, I think it was 22mil AAV, was his comfort zone. And it was a fair number, but it doesn’t seem to have been adjusted any. And that’s just not realistic just a few years later. It will get some middle high talent, but it won’t even start a conversation with the likes of Fried, nor a replacement arm.
Alex, I don’t know if the issue was that they were out of step with the market. They probably said that because what was true was going to sound worse: we didn’t think we were a legitimate contender, therefore we didn’t want to spend prospects on this season.
Every year that we get bounced in our first postseason series just makes me regret more that I didn’t go to a World Series game in 2021. I’d been waiting since I was a teenager for the Braves to make it back to the WS, and told myself I’d go when/if they ever did, and then when the time came, adult me balked at the ticket prices. With expanded playoffs and the randomness that is postseason baseball – even if you have a great team – I may be an old man when/if they ever make it back again.
I’m going to get going on a few things that I’d like to write about. I’ll have something up later today.
To me, aside from the Fried situation, the biggest thing on the table is to look at the coaching staff and see if there are any upgrades available there. Snit will have as long as he wants so that is a non-starter. I think Seitzer is someone that did not seem to adjust his philosophy (or the players didn’t apply it) when the balls were dead and then half the offense was injured. It looked like we just kept doing the same thing expecting different results. We did not seem to value OBP and get into opponent bullpens and made a lot of loud and quick outs. I would like to see us move the focus back in the direction of OBP and away from swing hard in case you hit it. Arcia seems to be one of the worst in that respect and when we were expecting him to hit 5th or 6th it was no surprise we struggled. As a 9th hitter he is fine but even then he needs to stop swinging for the downs at every pitch.
Off the top of my head Fried, Morton, Minter, and Duvall are coming off the books. There is some, but not a ton, of money to make some moves. Go get a shortstop and a couple of starters.
Eventually we are going to have to pay big for a pitcher, again, if we were not going to keep Fried we should have moved him, losing FAs for nothing is a stupid move. Last off season was the time to strike. Now we have to replace him and I dont want Charlie Morton as that guy.
I think I was the loudest person banging this drum.
For better or worse. I don’t believe Olson, Murphy or Arcia are going anywhere. The first two because were locked into the long term, the last because he’s so cheap.
Arcia in 9 hole is fine. It’s not realistic to expect a banger in every spot in the lineup.
I’ll be interested to see where MHII goes in the lineup when RAJ returns. Back to 9th? Elsewhere? Does RAJ move from leadoff and MHII stay there? Intriguing….
So if the position players are locked, it’s all about pitching!! With what we have falling off, I’d like us to make a play for Max.
I highly doubt that happens. He is over 30, is going to want big money, and he is injury prone
Fried is gone. The only chance he stays is if he really, really wants to stay in Atlanta and he takes the offer AA gives him. But if that were the case, it would have already been done.
Beyond that, Fried is going to be 31 and has had elbow concerns in the past two seasons. That just isn’t AA’s risk profile.
Luckily, the emergence of Schwellenbach has softened that blow. A rotation headlined by Sale, Strider, Schwellenbach, and Lopez should be formidable, if healthy.
The Sale injury was certainly 2024’s last in a series of serious gut punches. The guy was an absolutely dominating pleasure to watch this year. Hard not to like our chances if we’d had him start one of the first 2 games in SD. With all the bad luck, he really felt like he was our last bullet, but… never got to fire it. Quite a bummer.
FWIW, I see Fried as a Dodger. He can go home & that club seems to have few issues burning money on risky starting pitchers. And if he had healthier track record, IMO, the Yanks would be knocking — he’d be perfect for that stadium. But another FA drama will be unfolding there in the offseason.
Yo can Alex Bregman play average shortstop? He can pick it at third and he was drafted as a SS. Got moved due to Correa but I don’t know if he flashed a decent glove there.
I don’t think we have given up on Murphy or Olson yet. OTOH, I think Arcia is gone. My biggest question is will we keep Ozuna.
If we keep Arcia we’re not a serious organization. He should’ve been fired into the sun last year in my opinion. We’re stuck with Olson and Murphy. I think the biggest need is a new manager and new hitting coach. It’s time. Chipper would never want to do it full time but he’d be awesome. Get someone though. Ozuna is definitely a 50/50 for me. He’s worth it, but we may need Acuna to DH a lot next year. I’d also trade Albies even though I know he’s a fan favorite. He’s always hurt, has no arm, and his hitting is falling off. I’d put him in the Olson/Murphy camp for guys that need to work on mechanics and approach.