“Not so fast, my friends.” Or to put it another way, the Fat Lady has retreated back to her dressing room.
Just as we’re being told that our lackadaisical but pressing, arrogant but scared, worn-out but over-rested team (making the Braves postseason sound like a newly written extra verse to Ironic) should be making reservations at Chipper Jones‘ hunting camp for next week, things turn around in a hurry. Cruising along with a four run lead, and a no-hitter through 5 2/3, Zack Wheeler walks Ronald Acuña Jr., gives up a single to Ozzie Albies that RAJ scores on through some indifferent Trea Turner fielding and there is life. It’s just a glimmer of life, the sort of thing that, if the Braves lose this game, is reduced to what they call a Dead Cat Bounce on Wall Street.
It becomes slightly more than a glimmer when a Matt Olson single is followed by a Travis d’Arnaud homer in the 7th and now the glimmer is gathering intensity. Then in the eighth, an Acuña brush-elbow-pad hit-by-pitch is followed by a lunging one-handed excuse-me homer by Austin Riley to give the Braves the lead in the 9th. And the glimmer is now a roaring flame.
But there was more. Using some history-based strategery, AJ Minter was sent out to face Bryce Harper leading off the top of the ninth, but walked him. This led to Rafael Iglesias having his first inherited runner of the year. J.T. Realmuto flied out to center and then Nick Castellanos blasted one to center. Harper decided it was going to drop and planned to score from first. It didn’t drop. Michael Harris II caught the ball crashing into the centerfield wall and threw back to the infield as Harper tried to return to first. Harris’ throw evaded Arcia, bounced past Albies, but was finally fielded by Riley who fired to first to double off Harper and end the game.
OK. You all knew all of that. So let me add some observations.
- It’s only two games, but the Night Shift is back with a brand new cast save Minter. Minter, Johnson and Iglesias pitched well in Game 1, but their performance got lost in the narrative of Braves’ offensive futility, In Game 2 they did it again, ably assisted by Kirby Yates and Joe Jimenez. Everybody talked about how the Phillies relievers shut down the Braves in Game 1, but the shutdown of the Phillies by Braves relievers in Games 1 and 2 has at least temporarily saved the series. The Braves bullpen has now pitched 7 innings and given up 4 hits and one unearned run. Now to be a true Night Shift you have to do it for a lot more than two games. But at least for the moment, they all look pretty steady out there.
- The Braves 3-0 loss in Game 1 was not as bad as it looks in the box score. They had numerous chances to score and didn’t. That’s going to happen sometimes. And, to be perfectly honest, it’s a hell of a lot better, on average, to have lots of opportunities to succeed than to be no-hit for most of a game and need two two run homers and a fielding error to eke out a win. But craps gonna craps.
- Did Robby Thompson leave Wheeler out too long? I don’t think so. I thought his decision to remove Ranger Suarez in Game 1 was ridiculous, and the fact that it happened to work doesn’t make Thompson a genius. But series are funny things. If there is a Game 5, the Braves are going to approach it very differently, and I suspect Wheeler will as well. That’s why baseball is great.
- We were 1-1 going to Philly last year. Momentum is meaningless. But I still like this team, and I notice the troll “rp” from Saturday night appears to have retreated to his parent’s basement for the moment. Let’s not give him any incentive to come back.
Oh I am back. Congrats on the win, but we are going to embarrass you in Philly. Just like last year
That was awesome! Many thanks to Zack Wheeler for hanging that sweeper to d’Arnaud and to Bryce Harper for the free out. And what a game for Austin Riley. That one-handed homer was something else.
Took forever to get of there tonight, nobody wanted to leave! I gave up about 17 times, lol. The payoff was worth it. Best defensive play I’ve ever seen live. I’ll be digging for replays all night but I’m not sure TV will convey just how amazing that catch was. He covered so much ground, the ball was crushed, didn’t seem like he’d have time to get there. Then the throw, and the missed pickup, and the save out of nowhere by Riley. Holy shit. Let’s hope this is the wakeup.
I think the Braves played better in Philly last time around than in Truist. It took two extra inning games but they won 3 of 4. It apparently may take some more late inning heroics. I still think that, to win, Acuna has to make a difference. In every game. Hitless or not, he got on base twice and scored twice.
The next time you see someone saying something like “This team doesn’t care,” this game alone has given you your choice of reply gifs.
Personally, I’d go with this one.
Ha. Not the best thing for the kids to see, though.
I never remember seeing Olson as animated as he was after catching the ball that doubled Harper off first. Usually there’s nothing more than a broad grin from the stolid Swede (which is what I imagine Ernie Johnson, Sr. would have nicknamed him.)
Haha, nice.
Thanks JonathanF. I was laying in my hotel room while on a business trip to Mallorca. I may have woken up the house at 3am in the morning. What a finish. Wow. I thought it was a fantastic call by the tv guy, pure goosebumps.
Karussell, good for you, what a game to be a part of at the park.
It was “fun” to read the game thread comments back this morning…
In future, unlike Timo, I will not be watching live
Q.E.D.
Watch Phillies go 4-0 up
Fall asleep
Wake up 40 minutes later to find score is 4-3
Still 4-3 when I decide that 1.40am is quite late enough
Wake up in the morning to Michael Harris mania (and deservedly so)
Mike, that’s even tougher than to stay awake, especially since you probably built the game into your dreams somehow. Hats off to you to go back to sleep at 3-4. Must have been the best morning to wake up to.
I had the TV on with the radio in my ear. Terrific calls by Atlanta’s radio crew. The half inning after Atlanta scored their first run, they said “the worm hasn’t turned but it’s beginning to wiggle. ” Every call as the game went on from that point on seemed to anticipate a comeback. Really fun to listen to.
That is gold…I’m assuming that was Ben Ingram. I love me some Ben Ingram!
Yes, it was Ingram. Joe Simpson was also really good
Just caught up on the game thread. I think the game ball goes to tfloyd and all the others who got the rally going by changing their shirts. I told y’all the offense would come back!
What. A. Game.
Glad to play a part…I got up and went for the closet in the fifth inning and put on a college T-shirt. 😉
As a pessimist who has spent decades focusing on the Braves bad playoff luck, I want to take stock of a couple of subtle things that worked in our favor in this game.
Both teams’ final relievers made a major mistake. Hoffman had dominated Riley with his high heat, but he got cute and threw a slider on 3-2. That was a bad choice, even without the benefit of hindsight. It’s more likely to bounce with Acuna on third and tie the game. It’s more likely to be taken for a ball and put the winning run on for Olson. Most importantly, it speeds up Riley’s bat and the worst case scenario is that you hang one and he does what he did.
Iglesias made a mistake to Castellanos, too. After throwing a brilliant changeup that he waved at, Iglesias reasonably followed with another change. He missed so badly Castellanos didn’t offer. Now I was thinking Iglesias has to go with his slider, which is his most unhittable pitch, but he probably reasons that since he had slowed Castellanos down with 2 low change-ups, he can sneak a heater by him in the same spot. I disagree with that reasoning because low heat, and particularly outside heat is much easier to catch up with due to gravity working with your bat. A heater on the hands is fine there, but the low and away heater is a mistake. Castellanos hit it very well. A bit higher and it might be gone. A bit lower, and it might hit the wall before Harris can catch up to it. But it was hit just perfectly for Harris to make a play while looking like there was no way he could get to it so Harper got doubled off.
Now, we may go on to lose the series, but a mistake by each team cost the Phillies dearly while ours somehow helped us. That is a great stroke of luck in a game that could’ve gone either way.
The Phillies made two head-scratching mistakes last night that allowed us to even be in the position to steal the game. The most glaring one was a two-out single to left with runners on first and second, and their third base coach held the guy at third while Rosario’s weak throw went 30 feet wide of home. With two outs the runner on second should score 10 out of 10 times there, as he’d be running on contact. That proved to be extremely fortunate for us, as Fried induced a weak grounder to first against the next batter and escaped the inning. The other weird move was bringing in Hoffman at all. Alvarado was unhittable. They also had 3 other arms they could have turned to that are arguably better. Some pundits compared it to us leaving Kimbrel in the pen while the game slipped away (fond memories, ugh).
We got five runs on four hits. They left eleven guys on base. “Lucky win” is an understatement. What a crazy game.
Fredi was in a class of his own as a manager. That decision wouldn’t have been so bad if Carpenter hadn’t been shelled for weeks leading up to the playoffs.
The sheer viciousness in Ben Ingram’s voice when he says “HURTS”
Excellent.
Man, Ben Ingram finding his inner Larry Munson there… dropping a hobnail boot on the Phightin’ Phils.
Timo,
I can think of worse places than a Balearic Island to watch a post-season game, even if it is in the middle of the night.
Yeah, I’m dfinitely not complaining, ububba,
Go Braves!
Amen!
https://www.mlb.com/braves/video/field-view-of-final-out?partnerId=web_video-playback-page_video-share
I’m on mobile and can’t figure out how to embed videos, but here’s a link to an awesome view of the game-ending double play. Seeing and hearing the crowd erupt at the end is just incredible.
Here ya go!
Recommended viewing. We’ve all seen the plays but this puts them together, with some field and dugout reactions as well. Dang if it didn’t start to get a little misty in here…
Thank you Big D! Love the perspective. My goodness, 18 hours later and I still can’t believe it happened.
Brilliant! I don’t think I’ll ever get tired of watching that video.
An odd thing occurred on the transactions page yesterday as Charlie Morton was activated. Unless Fried goes on the injured list and is out the next game, I can’t imagine MLB will let Charlie pitch in this series.
I believe somebody would have to go on the injured list. And if they do, they’re out for the NLCS as well as the rest of this series.
I may just be that optimistic, but when the ball came off the bat, I didn’t have any doubt that Harris was going to catch it. It carried farther than I thought it was going to, but I always thought he had it. I was really surprised that Harper was doubled up; when the throw came in toward second, I thought that he had tagged up and was trying to take second.
You guys are gonna kill Phiily. Bet you won’t even reply when we show you who is right. Ignore me all you want, but we will bow to your TBA 3rd starter and then all we need is one more loss, with Suarez and Wheeler
Can’t believe you’re such a compliant Phillies fan. Dang.
There are just too many layers to your humor for me (shrugs)
Morning reading from Ben Clemens at Fangraphs
Interesting…
One last fun note on this: I was looking for signs that Wheeler was fatigued, but I ended up just being impressed by the Braves. Wheeler only threw six middle-middle pitches all day. That’s phenomenal command. The Braves swung at all six and made contact with every one. They fouled two off. They hit the other four 100 mph or harder. The last two of those were Olson’s single and d’Arnaud’s homer. Goodness gracious, is this lineup good. This series has been electric so far, and last night’s game was just another reminder that playoff strategy is great, but playoff baseball is so, so, so much better.
Man, we’re almost 6 hours from first pitch and the Braves still haven’t announced who’s starting, right? Also, is Strider coming back on short rest tomorrow?
They recently announced Elder would start. Don’t love it, but this game is problematic no matter who Snit picks. We have to score 10+ I think.
Our bullpen has pitched well enough that I think 10 runs is unlikely. Snitker will have a quick hook if Elder struggles in the first couple of innings. I am hoping for 2-3 runs in 4 innings from him. Twice through the order max and possibly piggyback Smith-Shawver. Getting to the back end of the pen with only 4 runs scored would be a very good outcome.
Yeah, he’s gotta be pitching & he’d be on 4 days’ rest.
Oh yeah, you’re right. I miscounted the days. Thank you.
https://x.com/DOBrienATL/status/1712121059292455140?s=20
It’s Elder. Presumably with a quick hook to AJSS since Strider and Fried can pitch games 4 and 5. Hopefully our bats come alive early tonight.
https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/braves-bryce-elder-named-nlds-game-3-starter/
They managed to use the terms “quick hook” and “short leash” in the same paragraph here. I think we’re all on the same page.
Is there such a thing as a pitcher being “due”?
Alright, let’s hope Elder’s sinker creates some easy grounders & some at’em balls…
Strike 1, Bryce… gotta get ahead
I wonder if Snit could pull a “rob thomson” and let Elder pitch through the order once, go to Hand for Schwarber’s and Harper’s second ABs, and let AJSS take it from there (essentially 1 1/2 times through the order). They could go to Daysbel in the 6th and use the rest of the relievers as per normal in the 7th-9th. That might keep the Phillies off balance like the Braves were in Game 1.
I think the Braves will get some runs off of Nola.
Bookmakers have us as big underdogs tonight (seeing Phillies at -123 to -125) but surprisingly they also still have us as the overall favorites to win the WS ( +240 or so ). That must mean that they think we’ll win the last two. Man I don’t want to test that timeline at all. I think tonight is as must-win as a non-elimination game can be.
Recap for tonight won’t be up until tomorrow morning.
I legitimately hope that we aren’t giving d’Arnaud the start tonight just because of his HR in Game 2, or because of the success he’s had in a relatively limited number of postseason PAs. Murphy is one of the premier defensive catchers in baseball and has had better offensive inputs AND outputs than d’Arnaud this year.