I don’t believe in getting comfortable; we’ve all seen too many Sunday white flag lineups anemically flail away the getaway game of an already-won series. And future Hall of Famer Zack Greinke will be a formidable opponent until the day he retires.
But my word, this offense is a sight to see. Sean Murphy has evolved into the cleanup hitter, which allows things to fall into place as they should: Albies is in the bottom half of the lineup, where he really belongs, and Vaughn Grissom’s back, not having missed a beat, and it’s relatively hard to nitpick an offense that’s scored 36 runs in its last five games.
That said, while I think pitcher wins are as nearly useless a stat as you can find, I’ll just note that while the Braves are 11-4 on the young season, only six of the wins have been recorded by starters (two each by Morton and Elder, one each by Strider and Dodd) while five have been recorded by relievers. Last year, it was 70 wins by starters to just 31 by relievers. Small sample size, but the ratio is interesting. Perhaps just as telling is the innings per start. This year, starters have averaged just under five innings per start (74.1 innings in fifteen starts); last year, it was five and a half innings per start. That’s a difference of 87.5 innings over the course of a 162-game season. You could think of that as nearly 10 full games, or nearly two full-season relievers.
As the weather warms up and the starters stretch out more, the starters will probably go deeper, and the bullpen will probably be less stressed. Until then, it bears watching.
But in the meantime, it’s worth appreciating Zack Greinke. Over the course of his career, I think he’s often been a bit underrated, despite his six All-Star selections, his Cy Young Award, and the six-year, $206.5 million contract with the Diamondbacks that he signed after opting out of his previous six-year, $147 million deal — both among the richest contracts ever offered to a starter. Partly, that may be because he spent much of his career toiling in Kansas City, and then he became a journeyman hired gun, with stints in Phoenix, Milwaukee, Houston, Los Angeles, and Anaheim. And partly, that may be because his personality is so unique that he’s had far more appreciative features written about how funny he is than about how extraordinary a pitching talent he’s been.
But he’s been worth 71.7 rWAR (65.7 fWAR) – perfectly in between CC Sabathia and Doc Halladay. His personality could have been boring as paste and he’d have been one of the four or five best pitchers of the past quarter-century. It’s fun to get to watch a master at work.
But screw ‘im. Let’s go break out the brooms!

Thanks, AAR. Love watching Greinke pitch but you’re right, tonight let’s continue this kind of offense.
Love the Sunday lineup. Snit’s going for the sweep. Go Braves!
Murphy is on that totally sustainable 9.4 WAR pace.
Greinke strikes out 66% (2) of his season total (3) in the first inning. We struggle with soft tossers a bit
Vintage Greinke today through 2.
Wright has his command in effect today. He looks way more comfortable today.
Edit- this comment didn’t age well
If not for the strong wind, Murphy would have had another HR.
Take the out (immediately), stupid.
Dodd with a decent game at Gwinnett. 5.2IP 4H 0R 3BB 8K.
Interesting that Ozzie would hit a left-handed homer off Greinke when Greinke is one of the very few right-handed pitchers he has hit right-handed against in the past.
Tonkin rally laid that one in the happy zone. Just a horrific 0-2 pitch. Not sure why he sped his bat up after he was behind the fastball
When he gets into one, Ozzie can really put a charge into the ball. What a day. Glad to see Wright have a better day, but I’m also glad to see Snitker with a quick hook. No need to take any chances. Even though Tonkin’s second inning of work had an awful result, I think Wright came out at the right time.
Unfortunately it does not look like Tromp will have quite as good of a year this year as he had last year. Last year Tromp was 3 for 4 with 2 doubles and 3 RBIs. This year he is 0 for 4 with 3 strikeouts and 2 left on base.
Make Backup Catcher Great Again!
Pitcher wins are more useless a stat than ever. If you understand that, you can still divine some value, if you understand its relevance,
Speaking of the relevance of pitcher wins, everyone’s favorite example, Jacob DeGrom, is starting to look like DeGrom of old. He had a poor first game, but he’s kicked it up several notches, striking out 20 in his last 2 games in just 13 innings. He is always an injury risk, but if he can produce more than the 78 innings he’s averaged over the last 2 years, he will be a huge boost to the Rangers. I still can’t imagine him providing $185 million in value in the next five years. I’m glad Atlanta doesn’t have him, but I’m also glad he’s no longer with the Mets.
I wonder if deGrom will ever reach 100 wins.
Recap is up.