
With the additions of Josh Tomlin, Drew Smyly, and Charlie Morton and the upcoming subtractions of some non-tender candidates, the Braves 2021 Roster is taking shape. Today’s “Braves Roster and Payroll Update” piece will look at where the current roster stands, the guaranteed contracts, the shoo-ins for the roster, and then look at the holes to fill before the 2021 season.
Braves Payroll: Guaranteed Contracts
- Freddie Freeman: $22.5 MM
- Charlie Morton: $15MM
- Will Smith: $13MM
- Drew Smyly: $11MM
- Ender Inciarte: $8.7MM
- Travis D’Arnaud: $8MM
- Chris Martin: $7MM
- Ronald Acuna Jr. $5MM
- Ozzie Albies: $3MM
- Josh Tomlin: $1MM
Total: $94.5MM for 10 Players
Breakdown
1 of these 9 are not like the other as Ender Inciarte likely has no spot on this team especially considering the emergence of Cristian Pache. The one thing I could see is that Anthopoulos plays the service time manipulation game with Pache and squeezes a few weeks out of Ender at the beginning of the year to gain an extra year of control of Pache. Either way, I think the Braves are likely stuck paying Ender’s salary, but I’m holding out some holiday hope that there’s a trade out there.
Braves Payroll: Arb-Eligible Players (Estimates)
- Dansby Swanson: $6MM
- Adam Duvall: $5MM
- Max Fried: $3.75MM
- Mike Soroka: $1.9MM
- Luke Jackson: $1.875MM
- Johan Camargo: $1.7MM
- A.J. Minter:$1.5MM
- Grant Dayton: $1MM
- Abraham Almonte: $990K
Subtotal: $23.715MM for 9 players
Total:$119.215MM for 19 players
Breakdown
Luke Jackson, Johan Camargo, and Grant Dayton are all *non-tender/trade candidates (*non-tender deadline is Wednesday so trade candidates only for a short time) and Abraham Almonte is on a non-guaranteed deal, which is likely a split contract that pays him $990K in MLB and much, much less in the minors. There’s a case to keep all 4 of these players and there’s a case to let them all walk. Personally, I think that the arb-guys are gone come Wednesday as free agency this year is going to be brutal for fringe major leaguers and more capable players will replace the 24th-26th man guessing game. If that’s true, add about $4.5MM back to the payroll.
Braves Payroll: Pre-Arb Players
- Tyler Matzek
- Jacob Webb
- Austin Riley
- Sean Newcomb
- Touki Toussaint
- Kyle Wright
- Jeremy Walker
- Chad Sobotka
- Jack Mayfield
- Phil Pfeifer
- Bryse Wilson
- Ian Anderson
- William Contreras
- Tucker Davidson
- Jasseel De La Cruz
- Alex Jackson
- Kyle Muller
- Cristian Pache
- Patrick Weigel
- Huascar Ynoa
Subtotal: ~$4 to 4.5MM for 7-8 players
Total: ~$122.715 MM for 26 players.
Breakdown
I think it’s safe to say that the Braves will likely carry 7-8 guys regularly from this list, between all year regulars like Cristan Pache, Ian Anderson, Tyler Matzek, and Austin Riley and the pitching shuffle between Atlanta and Gwinnett.
Roster Holes to Fill, Guesswork, and Final Breakdown
*Health assumed, the following players are Roster Locks
Roster Locks
Position Players (8): Travis d’Arnaud, Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies, Dansby Swanson, Austin Riley, Adam Duvall, Cristian Pache, Ronald Acuña Jr.
Starting Pitchers (5): Mike Soroka (if healthy), Max Fried, Charlie Morton, Drew Smyly, Ian Anderson
Relief Pitchers (5): Will Smith, Chris Martin, A.J. Minter, Tyler Matzek, Josh Tomlin
Assuming the above, there are 8 roster spots undetermined. It’s likely 2 or 3 of those roster spots will be taken by pitchers currently on the 40-man roster. I see the needs as follows:
- Catcher
- OF bat
- Bench bat/backup infielder
- Relief Pitcher
There’s also the thought that the Braves already have their backup catcher in one of William Contreras or Alex Jackson. My guess is that Anthopoulos is going into the rest of the offseason like he has thus far and that is when a good player comes available and wants to play for this team, he’ll pounce and figure out the fit later. Payroll? I say it’s anyone’s guess, but I cannot imagine that Anthopoulos would add 2 starting pitchers then not have the $ to address the biggest need…a replacement for Marcell Ozuna (or Ozuna himself). For now, I’m operating under the assumption that the payroll will mirror last year’s figure, somewhere between $150-160 million. That’s exciting.
Go get it, AA.
Thanks for reading Braves Roster and Payroll Update. If you enjoyed this piece, check out our latest Player Review on MVP Freddie Freeman
Thanks for this comprehensive list, Ryan, but you forgot George Springer!
That AAR.
$160 million? My Hammers?
Thank you, Ryan.
Waters doesn’t develop, from the last thread.
Chief,
In OOTP, do the superstars always develop reasonably close to their real life abilities? I ask because Baseball Mogul seems remarkably inconsistent on this front. I’ve never had Ty Cobb really become Ty Cobb and in three iterations of Babe Ruth, he’s never cleared 200 career homers. On the other hand, Honus Wagner and Pete Alexander always turn out well.
Yes. It’s remarkably accurate, IMO. And even better, you can ‘control’ that by tweaking some inputs within the game without feeling like you are playing God.
I’ve long thought that an online OOTP league with BJ members would be incredible… If you all even remotely are into games, this is the closest thing to actually running a team that exists.
I didn’t realize this, but Tommy Pham broke his hamate bone. I expect him to be non-tendered and I was all about grabbing him if so. However, this news frightens me and he’s no longer part of my fake plans for the Braves.
Agree.
Nah… Pham.
In such a weird way, if Eddie Rosario gets non-tendered, he’d be a perfect replacement for Nick Markakis. A “professional hitter” with power.
I would love Eddie Rosario if he were non-tendered.
I haven’t been around a lot lately, but I got on to catch up a little (thanks to all for keeping the hot stove season going)…have to say Chief deserves some internet love for his comment @ #7 🙂
Pretty good article at fangraphs today about Braves’ financials this year since the Braves are publicly traded and therefore a much better way of seeing exactly how much money baseball lost, compared to listening to other representatives talk.
Short version: they lost money on the year, but only on the order of a couple years’ profits.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/what-the-braves-can-tell-us-about-mlb-financial-losses-in-2020/
https://www.foxtv.com/sports/dr-anthony-fauci-lays-out-timetable-for-when-sports-fans-can-return-to-packed-stadiums-arenas
That’s not good.
https://jalopnik.com/a-chain-just-cut-through-a-capsized-cargo-ship-filled-w-1845784581
It’s a quiet midweek wednesday so i hope i may be forgiven for posting this which of course has absolutely nothing to do with baseball. What strikes me is it has everything to do with the capacity of each of us to be forced to expand what we currently thought was the limits of our imagination.
Ryan, delete if you must but if you don’t i thank you for your indulgence.
Rob’s link wasn’t working for me so in case anybody else has that problem, try this one:
https://www.foxnews.com/sports/dr-anthony-fauci-timetable-sports-fans-return-packed-stadiums-arenas
Blazon, that article is awesome! I visit Jalopnik regularly but somehow missed that one.
Me: Buys 4 suite tickets for last years series in Phoenix with the Diamondbacks for all four games. For a nice chunk of change…
Actually, Mrs. Nocahoma does…
Pandemic hits… Series cancelled…
Email from ticket company goes to spam giving me a deadline to get money back. I don’t see it.
Call ticket company and ask what can we do…
“Cannot give you your money back, or we’d go broke… as a company… but we can give you the amount in credit for next year…”
Me: OK sure…
Months pass. The Dodgers roll.
Fauci: No fans until the Summer.
The “credit” expires in April…
FML.
@ 14,
I actually already pretty much understood it that way. Broad resistance to this disease will not be in place before mid summer.
However, I also thought: Maybe the Hammers can offer free tickets to front line medical workers who have been vaccinated? That at least gets some battery, parking, and concession revenue going. It gives a treat for some hard working people who have been in a significant danger through this thing. You don’t have to worry about spacing the stadium.
New thread. Lots of JC’s that I’ll bring over.
https://bravesjournal.mystagingwebsite.com/2020/12/02/2020-atlanta-braves-player-review-ender-inciarte/
Some truly interesting points you have written. Aided me a lot, just what I was looking for : D. Nanni Rod Vanni